The low and no alcohol wine space is growing rapidly. Enough so that a company specializing in spinning cone technology to reduce alcohol, ConeTech, changed its name to BevZero. Debbie Novograd, CEO, and Kayla Winter, Director of Product Services & Winemaking, discuss the technology, the challenges of producing good no alcohol wine, and the market for low and no alcohol wines.
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Detailed Show Notes:
Alcohol reduction technologies
- Reverse Osmosis - pass wine through filters, removes water and alcohol, can only bring down abv by a few % per pass, requires multiple passes to get to 0% (more taken out of the wine)
- Spinning Cones - creates thin film vacuum distillation with heat added (37C) to extract alcohol w/o cooking wine, only spends a few seconds in still
BevZero history
- Founded in 1991 as ConeTech as a tool in the winemaker’s toolbelt to adjust alcohol to hit a “sweet spot”
- Before 2018, >14% abv wines had a higher excise tax, alcohol reduction used to bring wines below 14%
Spinning Cone technology
- Can pull off different substances with different molecular weights (more than alcohol if desired)
- Small units (1,000L/hour) start at $1.5M
- GoLo tech starts at $500-650k
Definitions
- Low alcohol wine: 5.5-10% abv
- No alcohol wine: 0-0.5% abv
Uses of technology by geography
- Europe - 99% for 0% abv products
- USA - until 2 years ago - 90% for alc adjustment, 10% for low/no alc
- USA - 2022 - 30% low/no alc -> 50% in 2023
- Very large players doing adjustment
- No alc - mostly startups, recently, big players interested
Market Sizing
- Non-alc space $2B in 2021 -> forecasts range from $3.5 - 6B over next 10 years
- IWSR projects no/low growing faster (7% CAGR) vs. alcohol (1% CAGR)
- Wine has been slower growth
- North America no alc wine market - $450M in 2021
- Low alc mainly US (bigger than no alc) and Australia
- No alc beer - 75% of total space
Producing no alc wine challenging
- Need suitable grape varieties for base wine - fruit-forward and aromatic work best
- Acid, color, tannin get concentrated
- Sparkling does well; bubbles mask the lack of weight (bubbles through forced carbonation)
- No alc is an FDA product - can add more ingredients (e.g., natural flavors, mouthfeel agents), must have a nutritional panel
- Initial no alc wines used bad base wine and added lots of sugar to compensate
- Many sweeten with grape juice concentrate, but trend is towards less sweet (now ~high 20g/L sugar)
Price points
- Original products were $5-6/bottle, now up to $30/bottle
- Majority are in the $10-15/bottle range, largest customer does still & sparkling wine in the $25-30/bottle range
Consumer use cases
- Main segment (70%) - people who still drink alcohol, drink both low and no alc wines
- Abstainers a small %
- Gen Z pushing growth
- Low alc targets lower calorie, lower carb segment
- Meets a ritualistic need that non-alc fills
Branding and sales
- No alc startups sell DTC, leveraging social media marketing
- Low alc has some big players - 50/50 develop new brands, some use existing
- Specialty online retailers for low/no alc
Higher quality products will drive future growth
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